Baseball Projection.com

Wander Perez

Age: 24 Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
0 2 18 24 5 13 10 1 18 17 8.5 25 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 13 22 12 6 6 1 12.46
20th 14 22 12 7 5 1 10.93
30th 15 23 13 8 5 1 10.20
40th 17 23 13 9 5 1 8.47
50th 18 24 13 10 5 1 8.50
60th 18 24 13 11 5 1 8.50
70th 20 23 12 11 4 1 6.30
80th 20 23 12 12 4 1 6.30
90th 22 22 11 13 3 0 4.50

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
0 0.0 0.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 19 22 13 11 4 1 6.60 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 17 21 11 10 4 1 7.08 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 15 18 10 9 3 1 6.74 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 14 16 9 8 3 1 6.48 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 12 15 8 7 3 1 7.41 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 11 14 7 6 3 1 7.61 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.