Baseball Projection.com

Yusmeiro Petit

Age: 24 Team: ARI

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
6	7	117	119	20	35	93	3	63	58	4.46	24	24

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	89	104	32	67	20	4	5.76
20th	96	107	33	74	20	4	5.34
30th	104	111	33	81	20	3	4.85
40th	111	115	34	87	20	3	4.62
50th	117	119	35	93	20	3	4.46
60th	120	119	34	96	19	3	4.20
70th	123	118	34	100	18	2	3.95
80th	127	116	33	104	17	2	3.61
90th	131	115	31	109	16	1	3.30

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

18 1.7 7.9

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 118 118 34 89 19 3 4.29 1.0 1.7 7.5

2010 25 106 106 30 81 17 3 4.28 1.0 1.5 7.4

2011 26 96 95 27 72 15 3 4.21 1.0 1.4 7.6

2012 27 86 87 24 64 14 2 4.33 1.0 1.1 6.7

2013 28 78 78 21 57 12 2 4.20 1.0 1.2 8.0

2014 29 70 71 18 51 11 2 4.26 1.0 1.0 7.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
18	1.7	7.9

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	24	118	118	34	89	19	3	4.29	1.0	1.7	7.5
2010	25	106	106	30	81	17	3	4.28	1.0	1.5	7.4
2011	26	96	95	27	72	15	3	4.21	1.0	1.4	7.6
2012	27	86	87	24	64	14	2	4.33	1.0	1.1	6.7
2013	28	78	78	21	57	12	2	4.20	1.0	1.2	8.0
2014	29	70	71	18	51	11	2	4.26	1.0	1.0	7.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.