Baseball Projection.com

Andy Pettitte

Age: 37 Team: NYA

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
10	8	166	190	16	52	118	5	91	84	4.55	28	28

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	128	161	46	87	16	5	5.48
20th	137	168	48	95	16	5	5.26
30th	147	175	49	103	16	5	4.90
40th	156	183	51	110	16	5	4.79
50th	166	190	52	118	16	5	4.55
60th	170	190	52	122	15	5	4.34
70th	174	191	51	126	15	4	4.14
80th	178	191	50	130	14	4	3.99
90th	183	189	49	135	12	3	3.64

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

24 2.3 10.5

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 37 167 185 54 125 15 5 4.36 1.0 2.3 10.1

2010 38 150 167 49 110 14 4 4.41 1.0 1.9 9.2

2011 39 134 152 45 96 13 4 4.57 1.0 1.5 8.1

2012 40 120 138 41 84 12 3 4.67 1.0 1.2 7.3

2013 41 108 124 38 74 11 3 4.72 1.0 1.0 6.7

2014 42 97 112 35 64 10 3 4.79 1.0 0.9 6.1

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
24	2.3	10.5

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	37	167	185	54	125	15	5	4.36	1.0	2.3	10.1
2010	38	150	167	49	110	14	4	4.41	1.0	1.9	9.2
2011	39	134	152	45	96	13	4	4.57	1.0	1.5	8.1
2012	40	120	138	41	84	12	3	4.67	1.0	1.2	7.3
2013	41	108	124	38	74	11	3	4.72	1.0	1.0	6.7
2014	42	97	112	35	64	10	3	4.79	1.0	0.9	6.1

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.