Zachary Phillips
Age: 22
Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
7 |
90 |
111 |
18 |
62 |
49 |
4 |
75 |
69 |
6.9 |
19 |
19 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
65 |
99 |
58 |
31 |
20 |
6 |
10.11 |
| 20th |
72 |
102 |
59 |
36 |
19 |
5 |
8.88 |
| 30th |
78 |
105 |
60 |
40 |
19 |
5 |
8.08 |
| 40th |
84 |
108 |
61 |
45 |
18 |
4 |
7.39 |
| 50th |
90 |
111 |
62 |
49 |
18 |
4 |
6.90 |
| 60th |
94 |
110 |
61 |
52 |
17 |
3 |
6.32 |
| 70th |
96 |
109 |
60 |
55 |
16 |
3 |
5.91 |
| 80th |
101 |
106 |
57 |
59 |
14 |
2 |
5.08 |
| 90th |
106 |
102 |
55 |
64 |
11 |
1 |
4.25 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
22 |
92 |
107 |
62 |
53 |
17 |
4 |
6.38 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
23 |
83 |
96 |
55 |
49 |
15 |
4 |
6.30 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
24 |
75 |
86 |
49 |
45 |
13 |
4 |
6.18 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
25 |
68 |
78 |
43 |
41 |
12 |
3 |
6.11 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
26 |
61 |
70 |
38 |
37 |
11 |
3 |
6.13 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
27 |
55 |
63 |
34 |
33 |
10 |
3 |
6.13 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.