Baseball Projection.com

Miguel Pinango

Age: 26 Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
7 8 134 141 25 45 84 5 78 72 4.84 25 25

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 102 123 41 60 25 6 6.26
20th 110 127 42 66 25 6 5.81
30th 118 132 43 72 25 5 5.42
40th 126 136 44 78 25 5 5.07
50th 134 141 45 84 25 5 4.84
60th 138 141 44 87 24 5 4.57
70th 141 140 44 90 23 4 4.34
80th 145 139 43 94 22 4 4.10
90th 150 136 41 99 20 3 3.60

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
11 1.0 4.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 133 145 45 77 24 5 5.01 1.0 0.8 3.4
2010 27 120 130 40 69 21 5 4.93 1.0 0.8 4.1
2011 28 108 118 35 61 19 4 4.95 1.0 0.8 4.1
2012 29 97 108 31 54 18 4 5.11 1.0 0.5 2.8
2013 30 87 97 28 48 16 3 5.09 1.0 0.5 3.1
2014 31 78 87 26 43 14 3 5.11 1.0 0.4 2.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.