Aaron Poreda
Age: 22
Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
7 |
96 |
118 |
16 |
42 |
55 |
4 |
68 |
63 |
5.91 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
70 |
105 |
40 |
36 |
18 |
5 |
8.49 |
| 20th |
77 |
108 |
40 |
41 |
17 |
5 |
7.48 |
| 30th |
83 |
111 |
41 |
46 |
17 |
4 |
6.94 |
| 40th |
89 |
115 |
41 |
50 |
16 |
4 |
6.37 |
| 50th |
96 |
118 |
42 |
55 |
16 |
4 |
5.91 |
| 60th |
99 |
117 |
41 |
58 |
15 |
4 |
5.45 |
| 70th |
102 |
116 |
40 |
61 |
14 |
3 |
5.03 |
| 80th |
106 |
114 |
38 |
65 |
12 |
2 |
4.50 |
| 90th |
110 |
111 |
36 |
69 |
11 |
2 |
3.93 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 8 |
0.8 |
3.9 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
22 |
98 |
112 |
42 |
59 |
14 |
4 |
5.25 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
| 2010 |
23 |
88 |
101 |
37 |
54 |
12 |
3 |
5.18 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.8 |
| 2011 |
24 |
80 |
91 |
32 |
50 |
11 |
3 |
5.09 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.0 |
| 2012 |
25 |
72 |
81 |
29 |
45 |
10 |
3 |
5.06 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
| 2013 |
26 |
65 |
74 |
25 |
40 |
9 |
3 |
5.09 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.5 |
| 2014 |
27 |
58 |
67 |
22 |
36 |
8 |
2 |
5.11 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
2.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.