Omar Poveda
Age: 21
Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
7 |
101 |
113 |
20 |
61 |
67 |
5 |
74 |
68 |
6.06 |
20 |
20 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
73 |
102 |
57 |
44 |
22 |
6 |
8.88 |
| 20th |
80 |
104 |
58 |
50 |
21 |
6 |
7.88 |
| 30th |
87 |
107 |
59 |
56 |
21 |
6 |
7.24 |
| 40th |
94 |
110 |
60 |
61 |
20 |
5 |
6.51 |
| 50th |
101 |
113 |
61 |
67 |
20 |
5 |
6.06 |
| 60th |
104 |
112 |
60 |
71 |
19 |
4 |
5.63 |
| 70th |
107 |
111 |
59 |
74 |
18 |
4 |
5.30 |
| 80th |
112 |
108 |
57 |
79 |
16 |
3 |
4.58 |
| 90th |
117 |
104 |
54 |
84 |
13 |
2 |
3.85 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 7 |
0.7 |
3.5 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
21 |
102 |
108 |
61 |
73 |
18 |
5 |
5.58 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
22 |
93 |
97 |
54 |
68 |
17 |
4 |
5.48 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2011 |
23 |
84 |
87 |
48 |
62 |
15 |
4 |
5.40 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2012 |
24 |
76 |
78 |
42 |
58 |
13 |
3 |
5.22 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
| 2013 |
25 |
69 |
70 |
37 |
52 |
12 |
3 |
5.15 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
| 2014 |
26 |
62 |
63 |
33 |
47 |
11 |
3 |
5.19 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
2.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.