Baseball Projection.com

Jordan Pratt

Age: 24 Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 42 41 5 44 37 3 30 28 6 42 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 30 37 40 24 6 4 9.30
20th 33 38 41 28 6 4 8.18
30th 37 39 42 31 5 3 6.81
40th 39 40 43 34 5 3 6.46
50th 42 41 44 37 5 3 6.00
60th 44 41 43 39 5 3 5.52
70th 45 40 43 41 4 2 5.00
80th 47 39 42 43 3 2 4.21
90th 50 38 40 47 3 1 3.60

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 42 43 44 34 5 3 6.23 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 38 38 39 31 4 2 5.88 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 34 35 34 28 4 2 6.09 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 31 32 30 25 4 2 6.12 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 28 29 27 22 3 2 5.99 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 25 26 24 20 3 2 6.12 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.