David Price
Age: 23
Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
5 |
79 |
83 |
10 |
34 |
59 |
4 |
45 |
42 |
4.78 |
16 |
16 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
58 |
75 |
32 |
40 |
12 |
5 |
6.98 |
| 20th |
64 |
76 |
33 |
45 |
11 |
5 |
6.05 |
| 30th |
69 |
79 |
33 |
50 |
11 |
4 |
5.61 |
| 40th |
74 |
81 |
34 |
54 |
10 |
4 |
5.11 |
| 50th |
79 |
83 |
34 |
59 |
10 |
4 |
4.78 |
| 60th |
82 |
82 |
33 |
62 |
9 |
4 |
4.28 |
| 70th |
85 |
81 |
32 |
65 |
8 |
3 |
3.81 |
| 80th |
87 |
79 |
31 |
69 |
7 |
3 |
3.41 |
| 90th |
91 |
76 |
29 |
73 |
5 |
2 |
2.87 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 10 |
1.0 |
4.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
23 |
79 |
84 |
33 |
62 |
10 |
4 |
4.73 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
3.4 |
| 2010 |
24 |
72 |
76 |
29 |
57 |
9 |
3 |
4.61 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
3.7 |
| 2011 |
25 |
65 |
68 |
26 |
52 |
8 |
3 |
4.56 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
4.1 |
| 2012 |
26 |
58 |
61 |
23 |
46 |
7 |
3 |
4.58 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
3.9 |
| 2013 |
27 |
53 |
56 |
20 |
41 |
7 |
2 |
4.59 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
3.7 |
| 2014 |
28 |
47 |
50 |
18 |
37 |
6 |
2 |
4.62 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
3.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.