Baseball Projection.com

Mike Prochaska

Age: 29 Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 8 112 140 22 47 46 4 83 77 6.19 22 22

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 84 121 43 31 22 5 7.93
20th 91 125 44 35 22 5 7.32
30th 98 130 45 39 22 4 6.89
40th 105 135 46 42 22 4 6.51
50th 112 140 47 46 22 4 6.19
60th 115 140 46 48 21 4 5.79
70th 118 139 46 50 20 3 5.49
80th 122 138 45 53 19 3 5.09
90th 126 136 43 56 17 2 4.64

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 29 111 143 46 48 22 4 6.33 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 30 100 128 42 43 20 4 6.33 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 31 90 116 39 38 18 3 6.40 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 32 81 104 35 34 16 3 6.37 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 33 72 94 33 30 15 3 6.65 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 34 65 84 30 26 13 3 6.55 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.