Baseball Projection.com

Scott Proctor

Age: 32 Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 3 62 54 7 29 58 2 28 26 3.77 55 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 46 48 27 41 8 3 5.48
20th 50 50 27 46 8 2 5.04
30th 54 51 28 50 7 2 4.50
40th 58 53 28 54 7 2 4.19
50th 62 54 29 58 7 2 3.77
60th 63 54 28 60 7 2 3.71
70th 65 53 28 63 6 2 3.32
80th 68 51 27 66 5 1 2.78
90th 70 50 26 69 4 1 2.44

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 32 61 57 29 53 7 2 4.16 1.0 0.3 1.3
2010 33 54 51 27 47 6 2 4.25 1.0 0.2 0.9
2011 34 49 46 24 41 6 2 4.30 1.0 0.1 0.5
2012 35 44 42 22 36 5 2 4.35 1.0 0.1 0.6
2013 36 39 38 20 32 5 1 4.52 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 37 35 34 19 28 4 1 4.50 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.