Kevin Pucetas
Age: 24
Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
7 |
97 |
105 |
15 |
40 |
58 |
4 |
58 |
54 |
5.01 |
20 |
20 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
71 |
95 |
39 |
38 |
18 |
5 |
7.48 |
| 20th |
77 |
97 |
39 |
43 |
17 |
5 |
6.66 |
| 30th |
84 |
99 |
39 |
48 |
16 |
5 |
6.00 |
| 40th |
90 |
103 |
40 |
53 |
16 |
4 |
5.60 |
| 50th |
97 |
105 |
40 |
58 |
15 |
4 |
5.01 |
| 60th |
100 |
104 |
39 |
61 |
14 |
4 |
4.59 |
| 70th |
103 |
103 |
38 |
64 |
13 |
3 |
4.28 |
| 80th |
107 |
100 |
36 |
68 |
11 |
2 |
3.62 |
| 90th |
111 |
96 |
34 |
73 |
9 |
1 |
3.16 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 9 |
0.9 |
4.4 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
96 |
106 |
40 |
55 |
16 |
4 |
5.19 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
| 2010 |
25 |
87 |
95 |
36 |
50 |
15 |
4 |
5.18 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.8 |
| 2011 |
26 |
79 |
86 |
31 |
45 |
13 |
3 |
5.02 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
| 2012 |
27 |
70 |
78 |
28 |
40 |
12 |
3 |
5.23 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
| 2013 |
28 |
63 |
71 |
25 |
35 |
11 |
3 |
5.32 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
| 2014 |
29 |
57 |
64 |
22 |
32 |
10 |
2 |
5.23 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.