Chad Qualls
Age: 30
Team: ARI
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
3 |
70 |
69 |
6 |
21 |
62 |
3 |
31 |
29 |
3.73 |
70 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
53 |
61 |
20 |
44 |
7 |
4 |
5.26 |
| 20th |
57 |
63 |
20 |
49 |
7 |
3 |
4.74 |
| 30th |
62 |
65 |
20 |
53 |
6 |
3 |
4.21 |
| 40th |
66 |
67 |
21 |
58 |
6 |
3 |
3.95 |
| 50th |
70 |
69 |
21 |
62 |
6 |
3 |
3.73 |
| 60th |
72 |
69 |
21 |
64 |
6 |
3 |
3.63 |
| 70th |
74 |
68 |
20 |
67 |
5 |
2 |
3.16 |
| 80th |
77 |
67 |
19 |
70 |
4 |
2 |
2.81 |
| 90th |
79 |
66 |
18 |
73 |
4 |
2 |
2.62 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 9 |
1.0 |
4.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
30 |
71 |
68 |
21 |
59 |
6 |
3 |
3.57 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
4.0 |
| 2010 |
31 |
64 |
61 |
19 |
53 |
5 |
3 |
3.52 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
4.5 |
| 2011 |
32 |
57 |
56 |
17 |
47 |
5 |
2 |
3.69 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
3.2 |
| 2012 |
33 |
51 |
50 |
16 |
41 |
4 |
2 |
3.67 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
3.0 |
| 2013 |
34 |
46 |
45 |
15 |
36 |
4 |
2 |
3.77 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.5 |
| 2014 |
35 |
41 |
41 |
13 |
32 |
3 |
2 |
3.76 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.