Baseball Projection.com

Edwar Ramirez

Age: 28 Team: NYA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
5 2 64 53 6 26 75 3 26 24 3.38 54 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 47 48 25 53 7 4 5.17
20th 52 49 25 58 7 4 4.50
30th 56 50 25 64 6 3 3.86
40th 60 52 26 69 6 3 3.60
50th 64 53 26 75 6 3 3.38
60th 66 53 25 78 6 3 3.14
70th 68 52 25 81 5 2 2.78
80th 70 50 24 85 4 2 2.44
90th 73 49 22 89 3 1 2.10

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
11 1.6 7.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 28 64 51 27 79 6 3 3.25 1.5 1.4 6.3
2010 29 58 46 24 71 5 3 3.17 1.6 1.5 7.3
2011 30 52 42 22 62 5 3 3.35 1.4 0.9 5.0
2012 31 47 38 20 56 4 2 3.24 1.5 1.0 5.9
2013 32 42 34 18 49 4 2 3.34 1.4 0.8 5.2
2014 33 37 31 17 43 3 2 3.45 1.3 0.6 4.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.