Baseball Projection.com

Elizardo Ramirez

Age: 26 Team: TEX

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
6	7	116	146	18	34	57	6	78	72	5.59	21	21

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	88	125	31	40	18	7	6.95
20th	96	130	32	44	18	6	6.38
30th	103	135	32	49	18	6	6.03
40th	109	141	33	53	18	6	5.86
50th	116	146	34	57	18	6	5.59
60th	119	146	33	59	17	6	5.22
70th	123	145	33	62	16	5	4.90
80th	126	144	32	65	15	5	4.64
90th	130	143	30	68	14	4	4.22

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

9 0.9 4.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 118 141 34 62 17 6 5.16 1.0 0.5 2.1

2010 27 106 128 30 55 15 5 5.18 1.0 0.5 2.3

2011 28 95 115 27 49 14 5 5.25 1.0 0.3 1.5

2012 29 86 104 24 44 12 4 5.16 1.0 0.4 2.2

2013 30 77 94 22 39 11 4 5.28 1.0 0.2 1.2

2014 31 69 85 20 35 10 3 5.33 1.0 0.2 1.3

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
9	0.9	4.4

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	26	118	141	34	62	17	6	5.16	1.0	0.5	2.1
2010	27	106	128	30	55	15	5	5.18	1.0	0.5	2.3
2011	28	95	115	27	49	14	5	5.25	1.0	0.3	1.5
2012	29	86	104	24	44	12	4	5.16	1.0	0.4	2.2
2013	30	77	94	22	39	11	4	5.28	1.0	0.2	1.2
2014	31	69	85	20	35	10	3	5.33	1.0	0.2	1.3

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.