Baseball Projection.com

Ismael Ramirez

Age: 28 Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 5 69 81 12 27 35 3 46 43 5.61 14 14

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 50 74 26 22 14 4 8.28
20th 55 75 26 26 13 4 7.20
30th 60 77 26 29 13 3 6.45
40th 64 79 27 32 12 3 6.05
50th 69 81 27 35 12 3 5.61
60th 71 80 26 37 11 3 5.20
70th 74 79 25 39 10 2 4.62
80th 76 77 24 42 9 2 4.14
90th 80 74 22 45 7 1 3.38

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 28 69 81 27 33 12 3 5.55 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 29 62 74 24 29 11 2 5.62 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 30 56 66 22 26 10 2 5.58 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 31 50 60 20 23 9 2 5.73 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 32 45 54 18 20 8 2 5.73 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 33 40 48 17 18 7 2 5.81 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.