Baseball Projection.com

Ramon Ramirez

Age: 27 Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
5 3 64 58 4 27 61 2 27 25 3.52 63 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 47 52 25 43 5 3 5.17
20th 51 54 26 47 5 2 4.76
30th 56 55 26 52 4 2 4.02
40th 60 56 27 56 4 2 3.75
50th 64 58 27 61 4 2 3.52
60th 65 58 26 64 4 2 3.32
70th 67 57 26 66 3 2 2.96
80th 70 55 25 69 2 1 2.44
90th 72 54 24 73 2 1 2.38

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
10 1.4 6.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 64 56 27 66 4 2 3.33 1.4 1.2 5.4
2010 28 58 51 24 59 4 2 3.39 1.4 1.0 5.0
2011 29 52 46 21 53 3 1 3.27 1.5 1.1 6.0
2012 30 47 42 19 47 3 1 3.36 1.4 0.9 5.4
2013 31 42 38 18 41 3 1 3.53 1.2 0.6 3.7
2014 32 38 34 16 37 2 1 3.34 1.4 0.8 5.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.