Baseball Projection.com

Jacob Rasner

Age: 22 Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 9 111 147 24 76 62 6 101 93 7.54 25 25

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 82 128 69 41 25 7 10.21
20th 90 132 71 47 24 7 9.20
30th 97 137 72 52 24 7 8.54
40th 104 142 74 57 24 6 8.05
50th 111 147 76 62 24 6 7.54
60th 115 147 75 65 23 5 7.04
70th 118 146 74 68 22 5 6.64
80th 123 144 72 72 20 4 5.93
90th 128 141 70 77 18 3 5.34

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 22 114 140 75 66 20 6 6.65 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 23 103 126 66 61 18 5 6.56 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 24 93 113 59 56 16 5 6.49 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 25 84 102 52 51 15 4 6.46 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 26 76 91 46 46 13 4 6.30 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 27 68 83 40 41 12 4 6.43 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.