Robert Ray
Age: 25
Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
7 |
95 |
111 |
16 |
41 |
55 |
6 |
64 |
59 |
5.59 |
20 |
20 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
71 |
97 |
38 |
37 |
17 |
7 |
7.61 |
| 20th |
76 |
101 |
39 |
42 |
17 |
7 |
7.22 |
| 30th |
83 |
104 |
39 |
47 |
16 |
6 |
6.40 |
| 40th |
89 |
107 |
40 |
51 |
16 |
6 |
5.97 |
| 50th |
95 |
111 |
41 |
55 |
16 |
6 |
5.59 |
| 60th |
98 |
110 |
40 |
58 |
15 |
6 |
5.23 |
| 70th |
100 |
110 |
40 |
60 |
14 |
5 |
5.04 |
| 80th |
104 |
108 |
38 |
64 |
13 |
4 |
4.50 |
| 90th |
107 |
106 |
37 |
67 |
11 |
4 |
4.04 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 6 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
95 |
110 |
41 |
58 |
15 |
6 |
5.51 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
26 |
86 |
100 |
36 |
52 |
13 |
5 |
5.44 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2011 |
27 |
77 |
90 |
32 |
47 |
12 |
4 |
5.47 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2012 |
28 |
69 |
82 |
28 |
42 |
11 |
4 |
5.58 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
29 |
62 |
74 |
25 |
37 |
10 |
4 |
5.64 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
30 |
56 |
67 |
23 |
33 |
9 |
3 |
5.64 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.