Baseball Projection.com

Tim Redding

Age: 31 Team: NYN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
9	10	164	183	21	62	106	7	96	89	4.88	29	29

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	125	156	55	77	21	8	6.05
20th	135	162	57	85	21	7	5.67
30th	145	169	58	92	21	7	5.34
40th	154	176	60	99	21	7	5.14
50th	164	183	62	106	21	7	4.88
60th	167	183	62	109	20	7	4.74
70th	172	183	61	113	19	6	4.40
80th	176	182	60	118	18	6	4.19
90th	181	181	58	123	16	5	3.88

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

10 1.0 4.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 31 162 187 62 100 23 7 5.19 1.0 0.7 2.9

2010 32 146 169 57 88 21 6 5.23 1.0 0.5 2.3

2011 33 130 153 52 78 19 6 5.39 1.0 0.2 1.0

2012 34 117 138 48 69 17 5 5.42 1.0 0.2 1.1

2013 35 105 124 44 61 15 5 5.45 1.0 0.1 0.6

2014 36 94 112 40 53 14 4 5.55 1.0 0.0 0.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
10	1.0	4.8

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	31	162	187	62	100	23	7	5.19	1.0	0.7	2.9
2010	32	146	169	57	88	21	6	5.23	1.0	0.5	2.3
2011	33	130	153	52	78	19	6	5.39	1.0	0.2	1.0
2012	34	117	138	48	69	17	5	5.42	1.0	0.2	1.1
2013	35	105	124	44	61	15	5	5.45	1.0	0.1	0.6
2014	36	94	112	40	53	14	4	5.55	1.0	0.0	0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.