Baseball Projection.com

Todd Redmond

Age: 24 Team: ATL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
7	9	141	152	27	49	91	6	86	80	5.11	26	26

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	107	133	45	64	28	7	6.64
20th	115	137	46	71	27	7	6.18
30th	124	142	47	78	27	6	5.73
40th	133	147	48	84	27	6	5.35
50th	141	152	49	91	27	6	5.11
60th	145	152	48	94	26	6	4.84
70th	149	151	47	98	25	5	4.47
80th	153	149	46	103	23	4	4.12
90th	158	146	44	108	21	4	3.76

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

9 0.9 4.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 140 156 49 85 28 6 5.31 1.0 0.4 1.7

2010 25 126 141 43 76 25 5 5.29 1.0 0.4 1.8

2011 26 114 127 38 68 23 5 5.28 1.0 0.4 2.0

2012 27 102 115 34 61 21 4 5.35 1.0 0.2 1.1

2013 28 92 104 30 54 19 4 5.37 1.0 0.2 1.2

2014 29 83 94 26 49 17 3 5.30 1.0 0.2 1.3

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
9	0.9	4.4

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	24	140	156	49	85	28	6	5.31	1.0	0.4	1.7
2010	25	126	141	43	76	25	5	5.29	1.0	0.4	1.8
2011	26	114	127	38	68	23	5	5.28	1.0	0.4	2.0
2012	27	102	115	34	61	21	4	5.35	1.0	0.2	1.1
2013	28	92	104	30	54	19	4	5.37	1.0	0.2	1.2
2014	29	83	94	26	49	17	3	5.30	1.0	0.2	1.3

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.