Evan Reed
Age: 23
Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
6 |
80 |
97 |
16 |
47 |
40 |
4 |
63 |
58 |
6.53 |
17 |
17 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
58 |
87 |
45 |
25 |
18 |
5 |
9.62 |
| 20th |
63 |
89 |
45 |
29 |
17 |
5 |
8.57 |
| 30th |
68 |
92 |
46 |
33 |
17 |
5 |
7.94 |
| 40th |
74 |
95 |
46 |
36 |
17 |
4 |
7.18 |
| 50th |
80 |
97 |
47 |
40 |
16 |
4 |
6.53 |
| 60th |
82 |
96 |
46 |
42 |
15 |
4 |
6.15 |
| 70th |
85 |
95 |
45 |
45 |
14 |
3 |
5.61 |
| 80th |
89 |
92 |
43 |
49 |
12 |
2 |
4.75 |
| 90th |
93 |
89 |
40 |
53 |
10 |
1 |
4.06 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
23 |
81 |
94 |
47 |
44 |
15 |
4 |
6.13 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
24 |
73 |
84 |
42 |
40 |
13 |
3 |
5.98 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
25 |
66 |
76 |
37 |
36 |
12 |
3 |
5.99 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
26 |
59 |
68 |
33 |
32 |
11 |
3 |
6.04 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
27 |
54 |
62 |
29 |
29 |
10 |
2 |
5.90 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
28 |
49 |
56 |
25 |
26 |
9 |
2 |
5.79 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.