Steven Register
Age: 26
Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
4 |
74 |
79 |
10 |
30 |
56 |
3 |
42 |
39 |
4.74 |
65 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
55 |
70 |
28 |
39 |
11 |
4 |
6.71 |
| 20th |
60 |
72 |
28 |
43 |
11 |
4 |
6.00 |
| 30th |
65 |
74 |
29 |
48 |
10 |
3 |
5.40 |
| 40th |
69 |
77 |
29 |
52 |
10 |
3 |
5.09 |
| 50th |
74 |
79 |
30 |
56 |
10 |
3 |
4.74 |
| 60th |
76 |
78 |
29 |
58 |
9 |
3 |
4.38 |
| 70th |
78 |
78 |
29 |
61 |
9 |
2 |
4.15 |
| 80th |
81 |
76 |
28 |
64 |
8 |
2 |
3.67 |
| 90th |
84 |
75 |
26 |
68 |
7 |
1 |
3.32 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
74 |
77 |
30 |
56 |
9 |
3 |
4.53 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
27 |
67 |
69 |
26 |
50 |
8 |
3 |
4.43 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2011 |
28 |
60 |
63 |
23 |
44 |
8 |
3 |
4.63 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
29 |
55 |
57 |
20 |
40 |
7 |
2 |
4.43 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
| 2013 |
30 |
49 |
51 |
19 |
35 |
6 |
2 |
4.50 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
31 |
44 |
47 |
17 |
31 |
6 |
2 |
4.74 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.