Baseball Projection.com

Bryan Rembisz

Age: 23 Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 27 32 5 13 15 1 19 18 6 25 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 19 29 13 9 6 2 9.47
20th 21 30 13 11 6 1 8.14
30th 23 30 13 12 5 1 7.04
40th 25 31 13 14 5 1 6.48
50th 27 32 13 15 5 1 6.00
60th 28 32 13 16 5 1 5.79
70th 29 31 12 17 4 1 4.97
80th 31 30 11 18 3 0 3.77
90th 32 29 11 20 3 0 3.38

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 23 27 31 13 16 5 1 5.72 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 24 24 28 12 15 5 1 6.04 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 25 22 25 10 13 4 1 5.59 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 26 20 23 9 12 4 1 5.78 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 27 18 20 8 11 3 1 5.36 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 28 16 19 7 9 3 1 5.89 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.