Baseball Projection.com

Chris Resop

Age: 26 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 50 50 4 22 39 2 25 23 4.14 44 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 37 44 21 27 5 3 6.08
20th 40 46 21 30 5 2 5.40
30th 44 47 21 33 4 2 4.70
40th 47 48 22 36 4 2 4.40
50th 50 50 22 39 4 2 4.14
60th 51 50 22 41 4 2 4.06
70th 53 49 21 42 3 2 3.40
80th 55 48 20 45 3 1 3.11
90th 56 47 19 47 2 1 2.89

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 49 52 22 36 4 2 4.48 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 44 47 19 32 4 2 4.55 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 40 42 17 29 3 2 4.34 1.0 0.1 0.5
2012 29 36 38 15 26 3 1 4.34 1.0 0.1 0.6
2013 30 32 35 14 23 3 1 4.67 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 29 31 13 20 2 1 4.41 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.