Jo-Jo Reyes
Age: 24
Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
6 |
98 |
104 |
12 |
45 |
72 |
4 |
56 |
52 |
4.78 |
20 |
20 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
74 |
90 |
41 |
51 |
13 |
5 |
6.32 |
| 20th |
80 |
94 |
42 |
57 |
13 |
4 |
5.85 |
| 30th |
86 |
97 |
43 |
62 |
12 |
4 |
5.34 |
| 40th |
92 |
100 |
44 |
67 |
12 |
4 |
5.09 |
| 50th |
98 |
104 |
45 |
72 |
12 |
4 |
4.78 |
| 60th |
101 |
103 |
44 |
75 |
11 |
4 |
4.46 |
| 70th |
103 |
103 |
44 |
78 |
11 |
3 |
4.28 |
| 80th |
106 |
102 |
43 |
81 |
10 |
3 |
3.91 |
| 90th |
110 |
100 |
41 |
85 |
8 |
2 |
3.44 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 8 |
0.8 |
3.9 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
97 |
107 |
45 |
67 |
12 |
4 |
5.02 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
2.5 |
| 2010 |
25 |
87 |
97 |
40 |
60 |
11 |
3 |
5.06 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
| 2011 |
26 |
79 |
87 |
35 |
54 |
10 |
3 |
4.96 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
| 2012 |
27 |
71 |
79 |
31 |
48 |
9 |
3 |
5.01 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.8 |
| 2013 |
28 |
64 |
72 |
27 |
43 |
8 |
2 |
4.99 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.5 |
| 2014 |
29 |
58 |
64 |
24 |
39 |
7 |
2 |
4.84 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
3.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.