Greg Reynolds
Age: 23
Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
5 |
84 |
102 |
11 |
33 |
44 |
4 |
55 |
51 |
5.46 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
63 |
89 |
31 |
30 |
12 |
5 |
7.29 |
| 20th |
68 |
92 |
31 |
34 |
12 |
5 |
6.75 |
| 30th |
74 |
95 |
32 |
37 |
11 |
4 |
6.08 |
| 40th |
79 |
98 |
32 |
41 |
11 |
4 |
5.70 |
| 50th |
84 |
102 |
33 |
44 |
11 |
4 |
5.46 |
| 60th |
87 |
101 |
32 |
46 |
10 |
4 |
4.97 |
| 70th |
89 |
102 |
32 |
48 |
10 |
3 |
4.85 |
| 80th |
92 |
100 |
31 |
51 |
9 |
3 |
4.30 |
| 90th |
96 |
98 |
29 |
54 |
7 |
2 |
3.84 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 7 |
0.7 |
3.5 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
23 |
85 |
99 |
33 |
44 |
10 |
4 |
5.09 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.1 |
| 2010 |
24 |
77 |
89 |
29 |
40 |
9 |
4 |
5.02 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
| 2011 |
25 |
70 |
80 |
25 |
37 |
8 |
3 |
4.86 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
| 2012 |
26 |
63 |
72 |
22 |
33 |
7 |
3 |
4.83 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.8 |
| 2013 |
27 |
56 |
66 |
20 |
29 |
7 |
3 |
5.14 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
| 2014 |
28 |
51 |
59 |
18 |
26 |
6 |
2 |
4.93 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.