Baseball Projection.com

Ryne Reynoso

Age: 24 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 50 50 7 26 41 2 29 27 4.86 44 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 36 45 25 27 8 3 7.50
20th 40 46 25 31 8 3 6.53
30th 43 48 25 35 8 2 5.86
40th 47 48 26 38 7 2 4.98
50th 50 50 26 41 7 2 4.86
60th 51 49 25 43 6 2 4.41
70th 53 49 25 45 6 1 4.08
80th 55 47 24 48 5 1 3.44
90th 58 45 22 51 4 1 2.95

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 49 52 26 38 7 2 5.13 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 44 47 23 34 7 2 5.27 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 40 42 20 31 6 2 5.07 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 36 38 18 27 5 2 5.04 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 32 35 16 25 5 1 5.27 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 29 31 14 22 4 1 4.98 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.