Baseball Projection.com

Danny Richar

Age: 26 Team: CIN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
128	483	71	126	27	5	13	58	10	4	41	91	2	0.261	0.321	0.418	-14	2B	5.9

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-17	0	240	55	11	1	5	17	50	0	0.229	0.280	0.346
20th	-17	0	302	71	14	2	6	22	61	0	0.235	0.287	0.354
30th	-16	0	362	89	18	3	8	28	71	1	0.246	0.302	0.378
40th	-15	0	424	107	22	4	11	34	82	1	0.252	0.309	0.401
50th	-12	5	483	126	27	5	13	41	91	2	0.261	0.321	0.418
60th	-6	12	506	136	30	6	15	45	93	2	0.269	0.331	0.441
70th	-2	17	528	146	33	7	17	49	94	3	0.277	0.341	0.462
80th	4	23	551	157	36	8	19	53	96	3	0.285	0.351	0.483
90th	11	31	573	168	39	9	21	57	97	4	0.293	0.361	0.503

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	26	485	124	27	5	11	10	4	39	92	2	0.256	0.314	0.400
2010	27	484	124	27	4	12	10	4	40	91	2	0.256	0.316	0.403
2011	28	483	122	27	4	12	9	4	41	91	2	0.253	0.314	0.400
2012	29	482	119	26	4	11	9	4	42	92	2	0.247	0.310	0.386
2013	30	457	113	25	3	11	8	3	41	87	2	0.247	0.312	0.387
2014	31	434	107	23	3	10	7	3	39	82	2	0.247	0.312	0.382

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	-9	-9	-18	3	-5	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	2.2	9.7
Good (+7 runs)	1.6	7
Average (0 runs)	1.2	5.3
Poor (-7 runs)	0.8	3.5
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.4	1.8

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	16
12 team AL or NL only	1	6	22

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.