Dustin Richardson
Age: 25
Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
5 |
84 |
90 |
16 |
49 |
63 |
4 |
57 |
53 |
5.68 |
19 |
19 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
62 |
80 |
45 |
43 |
17 |
5 |
7.98 |
| 20th |
67 |
83 |
46 |
48 |
17 |
5 |
7.52 |
| 30th |
73 |
85 |
47 |
53 |
16 |
4 |
6.66 |
| 40th |
78 |
87 |
48 |
58 |
16 |
4 |
6.12 |
| 50th |
84 |
90 |
49 |
63 |
16 |
4 |
5.68 |
| 60th |
86 |
89 |
48 |
66 |
15 |
4 |
5.34 |
| 70th |
89 |
88 |
47 |
69 |
14 |
3 |
4.85 |
| 80th |
92 |
86 |
46 |
73 |
13 |
3 |
4.40 |
| 90th |
96 |
84 |
44 |
77 |
11 |
2 |
3.84 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 5 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
84 |
88 |
49 |
69 |
17 |
4 |
5.65 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
26 |
76 |
80 |
43 |
62 |
15 |
3 |
5.57 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
27 |
68 |
73 |
38 |
55 |
14 |
3 |
5.73 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
28 |
62 |
65 |
34 |
49 |
12 |
3 |
5.50 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
29 |
56 |
59 |
30 |
44 |
11 |
3 |
5.53 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
30 |
50 |
54 |
27 |
39 |
10 |
2 |
5.65 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.