Baseball Projection.com

Scott Richmond

Age: 29 Team: TOR

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
5	6	106	112	17	36	73	4	60	56	4.75	19	19

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	79	99	34	51	18	5	6.38
20th	86	102	34	56	18	5	5.86
30th	93	105	35	62	17	4	5.32
40th	100	109	35	68	17	4	5.04
50th	106	112	36	73	17	4	4.75
60th	109	111	35	76	16	4	4.38
70th	112	111	34	79	15	3	4.10
80th	115	109	33	83	14	3	3.76
90th	119	106	32	88	12	2	3.25

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

14 1.3 6.1

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 29 107 110 36 77 15 4 4.42 1.0 1.3 5.9

2010 30 95 100 33 68 14 4 4.63 1.0 1.0 4.6

2011 31 86 90 30 61 13 3 4.61 1.0 1.0 5.1

2012 32 77 81 28 54 11 3 4.63 1.0 0.8 4.5

2013 33 69 73 25 47 10 3 4.69 1.0 0.7 4.3

2014 34 62 66 23 42 9 2 4.71 1.0 0.6 4.0

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
14	1.3	6.1

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	29	107	110	36	77	15	4	4.42	1.0	1.3	5.9
2010	30	95	100	33	68	14	4	4.63	1.0	1.0	4.6
2011	31	86	90	30	61	13	3	4.61	1.0	1.0	5.1
2012	32	77	81	28	54	11	3	4.63	1.0	0.8	4.5
2013	33	69	73	25	47	10	3	4.69	1.0	0.7	4.3
2014	34	62	66	23	42	9	2	4.71	1.0	0.6	4.0

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.