Baseball Projection.com

Royce Ring

Age: 28 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 2 50 46 4 23 43 2 23 21 3.78 57 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 36 42 22 29 5 3 6.00
20th 40 43 22 33 5 3 5.18
30th 43 44 22 36 5 2 4.60
40th 46 45 23 40 4 2 4.11
50th 50 46 23 43 4 2 3.78
60th 51 46 22 45 4 2 3.53
70th 53 45 22 47 3 1 3.23
80th 55 43 21 50 2 1 2.62
90th 57 42 19 53 2 1 2.37

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 28 49 48 23 40 4 2 4.09 1.0 0.3 1.3
2010 29 44 43 20 36 4 2 4.12 1.0 0.2 0.9
2011 30 39 39 19 31 3 2 4.23 1.0 0.1 0.5
2012 31 35 35 17 28 3 2 4.31 1.0 0.1 0.6
2013 32 32 32 16 25 3 1 4.33 1.0 0.1 0.6
2014 33 29 29 14 22 3 1 4.37 1.0 0.1 0.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.