Baseball Projection.com

Juan Rivera

Age: 30 Team: LAA

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
115	375	47	102	20	1	16	67	3	2	26	49	2	0.272	0.323	0.459	5	OF	2.1

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	0	1	15	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	0.200	0.250	0.267
20th	-4	0	107	26	4	0	4	6	16	0	0.243	0.283	0.393
30th	-4	3	197	50	9	0	7	12	28	1	0.254	0.300	0.406
40th	-1	9	286	75	14	0	12	19	39	1	0.262	0.310	0.437
50th	3	16	375	102	20	1	16	26	49	2	0.272	0.323	0.459
60th	9	23	406	115	24	1	19	30	51	2	0.283	0.336	0.488
70th	16	31	436	127	27	1	22	34	53	3	0.291	0.347	0.509
80th	23	39	465	140	31	2	25	39	54	4	0.301	0.360	0.538
90th	31	48	495	154	36	2	28	43	55	5	0.311	0.372	0.562

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	30	373	103	20	1	18	3	2	28	49	2	0.276	0.330	0.480
2010	31	354	97	19	1	17	2	1	27	47	2	0.274	0.329	0.477
2011	32	336	91	18	0	16	2	1	26	45	2	0.271	0.327	0.467
2012	33	319	85	16	0	15	2	1	25	43	2	0.266	0.324	0.458
2013	34	304	80	15	0	14	1	1	24	42	1	0.263	0.319	0.451
2014	35	289	74	14	0	13	1	1	23	40	1	0.256	0.313	0.439

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	0	--	--	--	-7	-17	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	2.2	9.7
Good (+7 runs)	1.8	7.9
Average (0 runs)	1.4	6.2
Poor (-7 runs)	1.1	4.8
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.7	3.1

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	17
12 team AL or NL only	1	3	23

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.