David Robertson
Age: 24
Team: NYA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
2 |
54 |
47 |
5 |
26 |
57 |
2 |
24 |
22 |
3.67 |
46 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
39 |
43 |
25 |
39 |
6 |
3 |
5.77 |
| 20th |
43 |
44 |
25 |
44 |
6 |
2 |
5.02 |
| 30th |
47 |
44 |
25 |
49 |
5 |
2 |
4.21 |
| 40th |
50 |
46 |
26 |
53 |
5 |
2 |
3.96 |
| 50th |
54 |
47 |
26 |
57 |
5 |
2 |
3.67 |
| 60th |
55 |
47 |
25 |
59 |
5 |
2 |
3.44 |
| 70th |
57 |
46 |
25 |
62 |
4 |
2 |
3.00 |
| 80th |
59 |
44 |
24 |
65 |
3 |
1 |
2.59 |
| 90th |
61 |
43 |
23 |
68 |
3 |
1 |
2.36 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 7 |
0.8 |
3.9 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
54 |
45 |
27 |
60 |
5 |
2 |
3.54 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
3.5 |
| 2010 |
25 |
49 |
40 |
24 |
54 |
4 |
2 |
3.37 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
4.5 |
| 2011 |
26 |
44 |
37 |
21 |
49 |
4 |
2 |
3.54 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
3.1 |
| 2012 |
27 |
40 |
34 |
18 |
44 |
4 |
1 |
3.53 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
3.4 |
| 2013 |
28 |
36 |
30 |
16 |
39 |
3 |
1 |
3.33 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
4.4 |
| 2014 |
29 |
32 |
28 |
14 |
35 |
3 |
1 |
3.58 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
3.2 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.