Baseball Projection.com

Aneury Rodriguez

Age: 21 Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 8 113 134 23 57 78 6 84 78 6.21 22 22

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 84 119 53 53 25 7 8.57
20th 91 122 54 59 24 7 7.81
30th 99 125 55 66 23 7 7.00
40th 106 130 56 72 23 6 6.54
50th 113 134 57 78 23 6 6.21
60th 117 133 56 82 22 5 5.69
70th 120 132 55 85 21 5 5.33
80th 125 130 53 90 19 4 4.82
90th 130 126 50 96 16 3 4.08

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
6 0.6 3.0

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 21 115 130 56 78 21 6 5.68 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 22 104 116 50 72 19 6 5.61 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 23 94 104 44 66 17 5 5.50 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 24 85 93 39 61 15 5 5.40 1.0 0.1 0.6
2013 25 77 84 34 55 14 4 5.35 1.0 0.2 1.2
2014 26 69 76 30 50 13 4 5.44 1.0 0.1 0.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.