Baseball Projection.com

Edward Rodriguez

Age: 24 Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 4 47 55 9 32 22 3 37 34 6.51 45 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 33 50 31 13 10 4 10.36
20th 37 51 31 15 10 4 9.00
30th 40 53 31 18 10 3 8.10
40th 44 53 32 20 9 3 6.95
50th 47 55 32 22 9 3 6.51
60th 49 54 31 24 8 3 5.69
70th 51 54 30 25 8 2 5.47
80th 53 51 29 27 6 2 4.42
90th 56 49 27 30 5 1 3.70

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 47 55 32 23 8 3 6.39 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 43 49 28 21 7 2 6.03 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 38 45 25 19 7 2 6.46 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 35 40 22 17 6 2 6.08 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 32 36 19 15 5 2 5.80 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 28 33 17 13 5 2 6.30 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.