Fernando Rodriguez
Age: 25
Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
9 |
122 |
148 |
22 |
65 |
57 |
7 |
92 |
85 |
6.27 |
24 |
24 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
92 |
128 |
58 |
39 |
23 |
8 |
8.02 |
| 20th |
100 |
132 |
60 |
44 |
22 |
8 |
7.38 |
| 30th |
107 |
138 |
61 |
48 |
22 |
7 |
6.98 |
| 40th |
115 |
143 |
63 |
53 |
22 |
7 |
6.50 |
| 50th |
122 |
148 |
65 |
57 |
22 |
7 |
6.27 |
| 60th |
126 |
148 |
64 |
60 |
21 |
7 |
5.86 |
| 70th |
129 |
147 |
64 |
62 |
20 |
6 |
5.58 |
| 80th |
133 |
146 |
62 |
66 |
18 |
5 |
5.08 |
| 90th |
138 |
143 |
60 |
70 |
16 |
4 |
4.50 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
123 |
146 |
66 |
61 |
23 |
7 |
6.17 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
26 |
111 |
132 |
58 |
54 |
21 |
6 |
6.14 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
27 |
99 |
119 |
52 |
48 |
19 |
6 |
6.26 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
28 |
90 |
108 |
46 |
43 |
17 |
5 |
6.17 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
29 |
81 |
97 |
40 |
39 |
15 |
5 |
6.10 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
30 |
73 |
88 |
37 |
34 |
14 |
4 |
6.20 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.