Baseball Projection.com

Wilmin Rodriguez

Age: 24 Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 27 29 4 17 18 1 18 17 5.67 25 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 19 27 16 11 5 2 9.00
20th 21 28 16 13 5 1 8.14
30th 23 27 17 15 4 1 6.65
40th 25 28 17 16 4 1 6.12
50th 27 29 17 18 4 1 5.67
60th 27 29 17 19 4 1 5.67
70th 29 28 16 20 3 1 4.34
80th 30 27 15 22 3 0 3.90
90th 32 26 14 23 2 0 3.09

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 27 29 17 17 4 1 5.51 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 24 27 15 15 4 1 5.90 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 22 24 13 14 4 1 5.75 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 20 21 12 12 3 1 5.36 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 17 20 10 11 3 1 6.19 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 16 18 9 10 3 1 5.93 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.