Chaz Roe
Age: 22
Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
8 |
107 |
126 |
20 |
55 |
66 |
6 |
78 |
72 |
6.06 |
20 |
20 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
80 |
110 |
50 |
45 |
21 |
7 |
7.99 |
| 20th |
87 |
113 |
51 |
51 |
20 |
7 |
7.24 |
| 30th |
93 |
118 |
52 |
56 |
20 |
6 |
6.87 |
| 40th |
100 |
122 |
54 |
61 |
20 |
6 |
6.39 |
| 50th |
107 |
126 |
55 |
66 |
20 |
6 |
6.06 |
| 60th |
110 |
125 |
54 |
69 |
19 |
6 |
5.65 |
| 70th |
113 |
125 |
53 |
72 |
18 |
5 |
5.34 |
| 80th |
117 |
123 |
52 |
76 |
17 |
4 |
4.85 |
| 90th |
121 |
121 |
50 |
80 |
15 |
3 |
4.31 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 5 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
22 |
108 |
123 |
54 |
66 |
19 |
6 |
5.72 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
23 |
97 |
110 |
48 |
61 |
17 |
6 |
5.70 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
24 |
88 |
99 |
42 |
56 |
15 |
5 |
5.55 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
25 |
80 |
88 |
37 |
51 |
13 |
5 |
5.35 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
| 2013 |
26 |
72 |
80 |
33 |
45 |
12 |
4 |
5.40 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
| 2014 |
27 |
65 |
72 |
29 |
41 |
11 |
4 |
5.38 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.