Baseball Projection.com

Wes Roemer

Age: 22 Team: ARI
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 8 101 124 25 44 58 6 79 73 6.5 19 19

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 73 111 42 38 27 8 9.49
20th 80 114 43 43 26 7 8.44
30th 87 117 43 48 26 7 7.66
40th 94 120 44 53 25 6 6.99
50th 101 124 44 58 25 6 6.50
60th 104 123 43 61 24 5 5.97
70th 107 121 42 64 22 5 5.55
80th 112 118 40 69 20 4 4.82
90th 117 114 37 74 17 3 4.15

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 22 102 121 43 56 23 6 6.08 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 23 92 109 38 52 21 5 6.05 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 24 83 98 34 48 19 5 6.04 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 25 75 88 30 43 17 4 5.94 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 26 68 79 26 38 15 4 5.81 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 27 61 72 23 34 14 3 5.91 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.