Baseball Projection.com

Matt Rogelstad

Age: 26 Team: WAS

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
112	417	49	103	22	2	4	45	5	2	26	74	2	0.247	0.294	0.338	-33	2B	4.7

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-19	0	183	38	7	0	0	8	37	0	0.208	0.241	0.246
20th	-23	0	243	53	10	1	1	12	48	0	0.218	0.255	0.280
30th	-24	0	301	69	13	1	2	16	57	1	0.229	0.270	0.299
40th	-26	0	360	86	17	2	3	21	66	1	0.239	0.283	0.322
50th	-24	0	417	103	22	2	4	26	74	2	0.247	0.294	0.338
60th	-20	0	454	117	26	3	5	30	77	3	0.258	0.308	0.361
70th	-15	2	491	132	30	4	6	35	80	4	0.269	0.323	0.383
80th	-8	10	527	147	35	5	8	40	83	5	0.279	0.336	0.410
90th	-2	18	563	163	40	7	9	45	85	6	0.290	0.349	0.433

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	26	419	102	22	2	4	5	2	24	78	2	0.243	0.288	0.334
2010	27	418	102	22	2	4	5	2	25	77	2	0.244	0.290	0.335
2011	28	417	100	21	2	4	4	2	26	77	2	0.240	0.288	0.329
2012	29	417	99	21	2	4	4	2	26	77	2	0.237	0.285	0.326
2013	30	396	94	20	2	4	4	2	25	73	2	0.237	0.286	0.328
2014	31	375	87	19	1	3	3	2	25	70	2	0.232	0.284	0.312

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-4	-10	-10	-16	0	-8	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1	4.4
Good (+7 runs)	0.7	3.1
Average (0 runs)	0.4	1.8
Poor (-7 runs)	0.2	0.9
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.1	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	9

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.