Baseball Projection.com

Ed Rogers

Age: 30 Team: WAS

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
115	392	43	100	20	1	6	35	10	5	17	66	3	0.255	0.291	0.357	-30	SS	4.8

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-26	0	292	65	11	0	2	9	55	1	0.223	0.248	0.281
20th	-27	0	317	73	13	0	3	11	58	1	0.230	0.258	0.300
30th	-24	0	342	82	15	1	4	13	61	2	0.240	0.272	0.325
40th	-22	0	367	91	17	1	5	15	64	2	0.248	0.281	0.341
50th	-20	0	392	100	20	1	6	17	66	3	0.255	0.291	0.357
60th	-18	0	426	112	23	1	7	19	70	3	0.263	0.299	0.371
70th	-13	2	457	124	26	2	8	22	73	4	0.271	0.311	0.389
80th	-10	7	489	137	30	2	10	25	75	5	0.280	0.322	0.411
90th	-5	13	520	149	34	3	11	28	77	6	0.287	0.330	0.427

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	30	393	99	20	1	6	10	5	16	69	3	0.252	0.286	0.354
2010	31	373	93	18	1	5	8	4	15	66	3	0.249	0.284	0.343
2011	32	354	87	17	1	5	7	4	15	63	2	0.246	0.280	0.342
2012	33	336	82	16	1	5	6	3	14	61	2	0.244	0.278	0.342
2013	34	319	76	14	1	4	5	3	13	59	2	0.238	0.272	0.326
2014	35	302	70	13	0	4	4	3	13	56	2	0.232	0.268	0.315

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	-1	-3	-8	2	-6	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.2	5.3
Good (+7 runs)	0.8	3.5
Average (0 runs)	0.5	2.2
Poor (-7 runs)	0.3	1.3
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.1	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	7

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.