Esmil Rogers
Age: 23
Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
7 |
101 |
122 |
19 |
55 |
62 |
4 |
76 |
70 |
6.24 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
74 |
109 |
51 |
41 |
21 |
5 |
8.88 |
| 20th |
81 |
112 |
52 |
46 |
20 |
5 |
7.89 |
| 30th |
88 |
115 |
53 |
52 |
20 |
5 |
7.26 |
| 40th |
95 |
118 |
54 |
57 |
19 |
4 |
6.54 |
| 50th |
101 |
122 |
55 |
62 |
19 |
4 |
6.24 |
| 60th |
104 |
121 |
54 |
65 |
18 |
4 |
5.88 |
| 70th |
108 |
120 |
53 |
68 |
17 |
3 |
5.33 |
| 80th |
112 |
117 |
51 |
73 |
15 |
2 |
4.74 |
| 90th |
117 |
114 |
48 |
78 |
13 |
1 |
4.08 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 6 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
23 |
103 |
119 |
54 |
62 |
18 |
4 |
5.82 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
24 |
93 |
106 |
48 |
57 |
16 |
4 |
5.71 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
25 |
84 |
96 |
42 |
52 |
14 |
3 |
5.62 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
26 |
76 |
87 |
37 |
46 |
13 |
3 |
5.63 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
27 |
68 |
79 |
33 |
41 |
12 |
3 |
5.77 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
28 |
61 |
71 |
29 |
37 |
11 |
2 |
5.74 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.