Baseball Projection.com

Cole Rohrbough

Age: 22 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 4 51 57 10 29 37 3 37 34 6 11 11

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 36 53 28 24 12 4 9.75
20th 40 53 28 27 11 4 8.10
30th 44 55 28 31 11 3 7.16
40th 48 55 29 34 10 3 6.19
50th 51 57 29 37 10 3 6.00
60th 53 56 28 39 9 3 5.26
70th 55 55 27 41 8 2 4.75
80th 57 53 26 44 7 2 4.11
90th 60 51 24 48 6 1 3.45

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 22 51 58 29 34 10 3 6.07 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 23 46 52 26 32 9 2 5.97 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 24 41 47 23 29 8 2 6.05 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 25 37 43 20 27 8 2 6.23 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 26 34 38 18 24 7 2 5.92 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 27 30 34 16 21 6 2 6.00 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.