Baseball Projection.com

Lewis Rollins

Age: 24 Team: TBA

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
4	7	98	110	18	41	62	4	64	59	5.42	18	18

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	72	99	40	41	20	5	7.88
20th	78	102	40	46	20	5	7.15
30th	85	104	40	52	19	5	6.35
40th	91	108	41	57	19	4	6.03
50th	98	110	41	62	18	4	5.42
60th	101	109	40	65	17	4	4.99
70th	104	107	39	69	15	3	4.59
80th	109	104	37	73	13	2	3.88
90th	113	100	35	78	11	1	3.35

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

7 0.7 3.5

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 98 112 40 65 18 4 5.47 1.0 0.1 0.4

2010 25 88 101 35 59 16 3 5.43 1.0 0.1 0.5

2011 26 80 91 31 53 15 3 5.40 1.0 0.1 0.5

2012 27 71 82 28 47 13 3 5.49 1.0 0.0 0.4

2013 28 65 74 24 42 12 3 5.37 1.0 0.1 0.6

2014 29 58 67 22 37 11 2 5.47 1.0 0.0 0.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
7	0.7	3.5

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	24	98	112	40	65	18	4	5.47	1.0	0.1	0.4
2010	25	88	101	35	59	16	3	5.43	1.0	0.1	0.5
2011	26	80	91	31	53	15	3	5.40	1.0	0.1	0.5
2012	27	71	82	28	47	13	3	5.49	1.0	0.0	0.4
2013	28	65	74	24	42	12	3	5.37	1.0	0.1	0.6
2014	29	58	67	22	37	11	2	5.47	1.0	0.0	0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.