Davis Romero
Age: 26
Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
6 |
94 |
99 |
14 |
31 |
62 |
4 |
52 |
48 |
4.6 |
20 |
20 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
71 |
88 |
29 |
43 |
15 |
5 |
6.21 |
| 20th |
76 |
91 |
30 |
47 |
15 |
5 |
5.92 |
| 30th |
83 |
93 |
30 |
53 |
14 |
4 |
5.10 |
| 40th |
88 |
96 |
31 |
57 |
14 |
4 |
4.91 |
| 50th |
94 |
99 |
31 |
62 |
14 |
4 |
4.60 |
| 60th |
97 |
98 |
30 |
65 |
13 |
4 |
4.18 |
| 70th |
100 |
97 |
30 |
68 |
12 |
3 |
3.87 |
| 80th |
103 |
95 |
28 |
71 |
11 |
3 |
3.58 |
| 90th |
107 |
93 |
27 |
75 |
9 |
2 |
3.03 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 14 |
1.3 |
6.1 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
95 |
98 |
31 |
66 |
13 |
4 |
4.39 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
5.4 |
| 2010 |
27 |
85 |
88 |
27 |
59 |
11 |
4 |
4.35 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
5.5 |
| 2011 |
28 |
77 |
80 |
24 |
52 |
10 |
3 |
4.33 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
5.6 |
| 2012 |
29 |
69 |
72 |
21 |
47 |
9 |
3 |
4.35 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
5.6 |
| 2013 |
30 |
62 |
65 |
20 |
41 |
8 |
3 |
4.42 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
4.9 |
| 2014 |
31 |
56 |
59 |
18 |
37 |
8 |
2 |
4.50 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
4.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.