Edward Romero
Age: 23
Team: ARI
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 2 |
6 |
78 |
98 |
20 |
36 |
42 |
3 |
63 |
58 |
6.69 |
17 |
17 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
56 |
90 |
35 |
26 |
22 |
4 |
10.13 |
| 20th |
62 |
92 |
35 |
30 |
22 |
4 |
9.00 |
| 30th |
67 |
94 |
35 |
34 |
21 |
4 |
8.06 |
| 40th |
73 |
96 |
36 |
38 |
21 |
3 |
7.27 |
| 50th |
78 |
98 |
36 |
42 |
20 |
3 |
6.69 |
| 60th |
81 |
96 |
35 |
45 |
19 |
3 |
6.11 |
| 70th |
84 |
95 |
34 |
47 |
17 |
2 |
5.57 |
| 80th |
88 |
92 |
32 |
51 |
15 |
1 |
4.70 |
| 90th |
92 |
88 |
29 |
55 |
13 |
1 |
4.01 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
23 |
79 |
97 |
35 |
40 |
19 |
3 |
6.40 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
24 |
71 |
87 |
31 |
37 |
17 |
3 |
6.38 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
25 |
65 |
78 |
27 |
34 |
15 |
2 |
6.09 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
26 |
58 |
71 |
24 |
30 |
14 |
2 |
6.29 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
27 |
53 |
63 |
21 |
27 |
12 |
2 |
5.97 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
28 |
47 |
57 |
19 |
24 |
11 |
2 |
6.18 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.