Baseball Projection.com

Ryan Rote

Age: 26 Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 4 44 54 9 35 28 3 39 36 7.36 44 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 31 49 33 17 10 4 11.32
20th 34 50 33 20 10 4 10.06
30th 38 51 34 23 9 3 8.53
40th 41 53 34 25 9 3 7.90
50th 44 54 35 28 9 3 7.36
60th 46 53 34 30 8 3 6.46
70th 48 53 33 32 8 2 5.81
80th 50 51 32 34 7 2 5.22
90th 52 49 31 37 5 1 4.33

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 45 51 35 30 8 3 6.55 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 41 46 31 27 7 3 6.40 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 37 42 27 24 6 2 6.27 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 33 38 24 21 6 2 6.52 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 30 34 22 19 5 2 6.35 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 26 31 20 17 5 2 6.99 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.