Baseball Projection.com

Jonathon Rouwenhorst

Age: 29 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
6 7 117 135 18 47 66 6 75 69 5.31 26 26

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 88 117 43 46 19 7 6.95
20th 96 121 44 51 18 7 6.38
30th 103 125 45 57 18 6 5.94
40th 110 130 46 61 18 6 5.56
50th 117 135 47 66 18 6 5.31
60th 120 135 46 69 17 6 5.10
70th 124 134 46 71 16 5 4.72
80th 127 133 45 75 15 5 4.39
90th 131 131 43 79 13 4 3.92

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 29 116 139 47 61 19 6 5.64 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 30 104 125 43 54 17 6 5.70 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 31 93 113 39 48 15 5 5.76 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 32 84 101 36 43 14 5 5.78 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 33 75 91 33 38 12 4 5.80 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 34 68 82 30 33 11 4 5.80 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.