Baseball Projection.com

Glendon Rusch

Age: 34 Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 47 52 5 17 35 1 26 24 4.6 41 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 35 46 16 25 6 1 6.43
20th 38 47 16 27 5 1 5.45
30th 41 49 16 30 5 1 5.27
40th 44 50 17 32 5 1 4.91
50th 47 52 17 35 5 1 4.60
60th 48 52 17 36 5 1 4.50
70th 49 51 16 38 4 1 3.86
80th 51 51 16 40 4 0 3.71
90th 53 50 15 42 3 0 3.23

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 34 47 51 17 35 5 1 4.47 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 35 42 46 15 31 4 1 4.44 1.0 0.1 0.5
2011 36 38 41 14 27 4 1 4.47 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 37 34 37 13 24 3 1 4.44 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 38 31 33 12 21 3 1 4.41 1.0 0.1 0.6
2014 39 27 31 11 18 3 1 4.99 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.